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Verden vs St. Pauli II

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Feb 14, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Verden host St. Pauli II in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. St. Pauli II have shipped 2.11 goals a game lately, while Verden have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Verden slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 5:5. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.50, favoring Verden. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Verden
30%
Draws
41%
St. Pauli II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Pauli II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • St. Pauli II haven't matched Verden's recent run of results.
  • St. Pauli II are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Verden Clean Sheet 16%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verden St. Pauli II
Matches Played 24 27
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
St. Pauli II vs Verden
5:5
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Verden vs St. Pauli II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verden 11 / 100
St. Pauli II 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verden St. Pauli II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Pauli II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Pauli II let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Verden's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Verden went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Verden VS St. Pauli II
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Verden

(Home)
11 Sept
BSV Rehden
2 : 0
Verden
06 Sept
Verden
2 : 2
Lohne
28 Aug
Hildesheim
3 : 1
Verden
23 Aug
Verden
2 : 1
Drochtersen / Assel II
16 Aug
Verden
2 : 2
Hemmingen-Westerfeld
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St. Pauli II

(Away)
19 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
1 : 0
St. Pauli II
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3
St. Pauli II
13 Sept
St. Pauli II
5 : 0
Eintracht Norderstedt
04 Sept
Hannover II
3 : 2
St. Pauli II
30 Aug
St. Pauli II
2 : 2
Phonix Lubeck
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