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Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Verdy host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Verdy at 0.89 goals for, 1.54 against; Avispa Fukuoka at 1.29 for, 1.46 against. Past meetings favor Verdy slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 20, 2026, ending 3:4. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.25, favoring Avispa Fukuoka. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Verdy
15%
Draws
57%
Avispa Fukuoka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avispa Fukuoka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Verdy haven't matched Avispa Fukuoka's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Verdy Clean Sheet 19%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verdy Avispa Fukuoka
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.89 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka
3:4
Nov 8, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka
0:0
May 31, 2025 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Verdy
0:0
Jul 20, 2024 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Verdy
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 J1 League
Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verdy 32 / 100
Avispa Fukuoka 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verdy Avispa Fukuoka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Avispa Fukuoka conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Verdy scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Avispa Fukuoka's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Verdy VS Avispa Fukuoka
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Verdy

(Home)
17 Oct
Verdy
0 : 4
FC Tokyo
11 Oct
Verdy
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
Verdy
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Verdy
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1
Verdy
Page 1 of 6

Avispa Fukuoka

(Away)
18 Oct
Machida Zelvia
3 : 0
Avispa Fukuoka
14 Oct
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Avispa Fukuoka
10 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 1
Okayama
07 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Yokohama FC
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2
Avispa Fukuoka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10 7 2 1 25:6 23
2 Machida Zelvia 10 7 2 1 25:10 23
3 FC Tokyo 10 7 2 1 21:8 23
4 Vissel Kobe 10 7 1 2 17:9 22
5 Kashiwa Reysol 10 7 0 3 22:17 21
6 Kashima Antlers 10 6 1 3 21:16 19
7 Kawasaki Frontale 10 4 4 2 21:16 16
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 10 4 4 2 13:9 16
9 Urawa Reds 10 5 0 5 17:21 15
10 Shimizu S-Pulse 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
11 Okayama 10 4 1 5 12:15 13
12 Nagoya Grampus 10 4 0 6 12:16 12
13 Cerezo Osaka 10 3 3 4 9:16 12
14 Mito 10 2 3 5 12:14 9
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 10 2 3 5 11:18 9
16 Kyoto 10 2 2 6 11:19 8
17 Avispa Fukuoka 10 2 1 7 11:16 7
18 Gamba Osaka 10 1 4 5 10:18 7
19 Chiba 10 1 3 6 8:19 6
20 Verdy 10 0 4 6 4:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)