Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Verdy vs Chiba

Japan Japan

J1 League Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Verdy host Chiba in the J1 League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Verdy at 1.11 goals for, 1.5 against; Chiba at 1.13 for, 1.83 against. Past meetings favor Verdy slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.19, favoring Verdy. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Verdy
20%
Draws
44%
Chiba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chiba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Verdy have won more games recently than Chiba.
  • Verdy are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Verdy Clean Sheet 20%
Chiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verdy Chiba
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.11 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Chiba
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 J1 League
Chiba vs Verdy
3:2
Nov 26, 2023 J2 League
Verdy vs Chiba
2:1
Oct 22, 2023 J2 League
Verdy vs Chiba
3:2
Apr 16, 2023 J2 League
Chiba vs Verdy
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verdy 36 / 100
Chiba 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verdy Chiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chiba conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Verdy scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Verdy has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Verdy VS Chiba
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Verdy

(Home)
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0
Verdy
02 Sept
Verdy
0 : 2
Vissel Kobe
29 Aug
Verdy
0 : 2
Kashima Antlers
26 Aug
Verdy
4 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
22 Aug
Okayama
0 : 0
Verdy
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Chiba

(Away)
06 Sept
Chiba
2 : 0
Gamba Osaka
02 Sept
Chiba
1 : 2
Okayama
29 Aug
Kawasaki Frontale
4 : 2
Chiba
26 Aug
Chiba
2 : 1
Azul Claro Numazu
21 Aug
FC Tokyo
2 : 0
Chiba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
2 Vissel Kobe 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Kashima Antlers 6 4 0 2 13:11 12
4 Kashiwa Reysol 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6 3 2 1 13:5 11
6 FC Tokyo 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
8 Okayama 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
9 Cerezo Osaka 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
10 Kawasaki Frontale 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
11 Mito 6 2 3 1 11:8 9
12 Urawa Reds 6 3 0 3 12:15 9
13 Gamba Osaka 6 1 3 2 8:11 6
14 Nagoya Grampus 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
15 Kyoto 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Avispa Fukuoka 6 1 1 4 9:10 4
17 Shimizu S-Pulse 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
18 V-Varen Nagasaki 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
19 Verdy 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
20 Chiba 6 1 0 5 5:15 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)