Sport Picks
Verdy vs Kashima Antlers
Japan
J1 League 2026 Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo 
Match Events
19'
19'
Nono K.
Assist: Leo Ceara
34'
34'
Kumatoriya I.
40'
40'
Yoshida T.
Assist: Matsuhashi Y.
AI Match Summary
Verdy in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Verdy.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kashima Antlers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kashima Antlers lately — more wins on the board than Verdy.
- Model gives Kashima Antlers a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Verdy Clean Sheet 16%
Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Verdy | Kashima Antlers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 22 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Kashima Antlers
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Verdy
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs Kashima Antlers
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Verdy
4:0
Aug 25, 2024 J1 League
Verdy vs Kashima Antlers
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Verdy Compare
Top Goalscorer Kumatoriya I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yoshida T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Kashima Antlers Compare
Top Goalscorer Nono K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Verdy 10 / 100
Kashima Antlers 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Verdy Kashima Antlers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Verdy found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Kashima Antlers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 40% of 30 matches.
Verdy went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Verdy VS Kashima Antlers
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Verdy
(Home) 06 Jun
Verdy
2 : 4 Gamba Osaka
30 May
Gamba Osaka
1 : 1 Verdy
24 May
Verdy
0 : 6 Yokohama F. Marinos
16 May
Mito
0 : 1 Verdy
13 May
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0 Verdy
Page 1 of 6
06 Jun
Verdy
2 : 4 Gamba Osaka
24 May
Verdy
0 : 6 Yokohama F. Marinos
03 May
Verdy
1 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
29 Apr
Verdy
2 : 1 Kashima Antlers
18 Apr
Verdy
1 : 0 Chiba
Page 1 of 4
Kashima Antlers
(Away) 15 Jul
Kashima Antlers
5 : 0 Vegalta Sendai
06 Jun
Kashima Antlers
2 : 0 Vissel Kobe
30 May
Vissel Kobe
5 : 0 Kashima Antlers
23 May
Kashima Antlers
1 : 0 FC Tokyo
17 May
Chiba
0 : 2 Kashima Antlers
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Vissel Kobe
5 : 0 Kashima Antlers
17 May
Chiba
0 : 2 Kashima Antlers
10 May
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 2 Kashima Antlers
29 Apr
Verdy
2 : 1 Kashima Antlers
24 Apr
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 1 Kashima Antlers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 45 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 37 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Verdy | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Mito | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | 18 |
| 10 | Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | 12 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | 21 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)