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Verdy vs Kashima Antlers

Japan Japan

J1 League Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Ogawa R.
17'
Hirose R.
18'
Hirakawa R.

AI Match Summary

The J1 League game between Verdy and Kashima Antlers finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kashima Antlers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Verdy
30%
Draws
41%
Kashima Antlers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kashima Antlers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kashima Antlers come out ahead of Verdy on wins alone.
  • Kashima Antlers are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Kashima Antlers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Verdy Clean Sheet 11%
Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verdy Kashima Antlers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 23
Draws 5 1
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.07 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Kashima Antlers
0:2
Apr 29, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Kashima Antlers
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Verdy
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs Kashima Antlers
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Verdy
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verdy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kashima Antlers Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Ceara
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verdy 22 / 100
Kashima Antlers 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verdy Kashima Antlers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kashima Antlers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Verdy scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Verdy remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Kashima Antlers let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Verdy VS Kashima Antlers
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Verdy

(Home)
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Verdy
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1
Verdy
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1
Chiba
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Verdy
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0
Verdy
Page 1 of 6

Kashima Antlers

(Away)
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3
Kashima Antlers
15 Sept
Kashima Antlers
7 : 1
Newcastle Jets
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1
Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Kashima Antlers
0 : 1
Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 8 6 1 1 12:5 19
2 Kashiwa Reysol 8 6 0 2 17:12 18
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 5 2 1 20:6 17
4 Machida Zelvia 8 5 2 1 21:10 17
5 FC Tokyo 8 5 2 1 14:8 17
6 Yokohama F. Marinos 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Kawasaki Frontale 8 3 4 1 16:12 13
8 Kashima Antlers 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
9 Okayama 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
10 Urawa Reds 8 4 0 4 16:18 12
11 Cerezo Osaka 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 8 3 1 4 6:8 10
13 Mito 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
14 Kyoto 8 2 2 4 11:15 8
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 8 2 2 4 10:15 8
16 Gamba Osaka 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 Nagoya Grampus 8 2 0 6 7:14 6
18 Avispa Fukuoka 8 1 1 6 9:12 4
19 Verdy 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
20 Chiba 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)