Sport Picks

Japan

J1 League 2026 Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo

Verdy

0 - 2

Kawasaki Frontale

Our Tip

Match Events

Wakizaka Y.

Assist: da Silva Barbosa M. A.

20'

Arai Y.

23'

Erison

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J1 League 2026 game between Verdy and Kawasaki Frontale finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kawasaki Frontale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Verdy

11%

Draws

80%

Kawasaki Frontale

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Kawasaki Frontale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Kawasaki Frontale come out ahead of Verdy on wins alone.
80% — that's where the model lands on Kawasaki Frontale taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Verdy Clean Sheet 18%

Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Verdy	Kawasaki Frontale
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	13
Draws	3	3
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	0.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J1 League

Kawasaki Frontale vs Verdy

1:0

Mar 18, 2026 J1 League

Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale

0:2

Jun 29, 2025 J1 League

Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale

1:0

Apr 20, 2025 J1 League

Kawasaki Frontale vs Verdy

0:0

Nov 30, 2024 J1 League

Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale

4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verdy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Kawasaki Frontale Compare

Top Goalscorer Wakizaka Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Erison

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verdy 12 / 100

Kawasaki Frontale 86 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Verdy Kawasaki Frontale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAW Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kawasaki Frontale let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Verdy scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Verdy remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Verdy VS Kawasaki Frontale

0.75 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

38% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Verdy

(Home)

06 Jun

Verdy

2 : 4

Gamba Osaka

30 May

Gamba Osaka

1 : 1

Verdy

24 May

Verdy

0 : 6

Yokohama F. Marinos

16 May

Mito

0 : 1

Verdy

13 May

Machida Zelvia

1 : 0

Verdy

Page 1 of 6

Kawasaki Frontale

(Away)

16 Jul

Kawasaki Frontale

0 : 0

Vanraure

06 Jun

Kawasaki Frontale

0 : 1

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

30 May

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2 : 1

Kawasaki Frontale

24 May

Mito

1 : 3

Kawasaki Frontale

17 May

Kawasaki Frontale

2 : 1

Machida Zelvia

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	18	15	3	31:11	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	32:18	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	28:22	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	26:28	28
5	Verdy	18	10	8	22:26	28
6	Urawa Reds	18	7	11	25:22	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	28:31	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	22:24	20
9	Mito	18	6	12	23:39	18
10	Chiba	18	3	15	18:34	12

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	29:25	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	30:21	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	33:31	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	31:23	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	31:25	28
6	Okayama	18	8	10	26:29	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	8	10	23:25	24
8	Kyoto	18	8	10	22:28	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	21:29	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	21:31	21

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)