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Stadium Background

Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Mizoguchi S.
Assist: Someno I.
61'
Sub
Mochiyama K. In: Romanic L.
Out: Mochiyama K.
61'
Sub
Konno K. In: da Silva Barbosa M. A.
Out: Konno K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Verdy
15%
Draws
54%
Kawasaki Frontale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kawasaki Frontale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Kawasaki Frontale have won more games recently than Verdy.
  • Kawasaki Frontale are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Verdy Clean Sheet 10%
Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verdy Kawasaki Frontale
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale
1:1
May 6, 2026 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Verdy
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale
0:2
Jun 29, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Verdy
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verdy Compare

Top Goalscorer Mizoguchi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kawasaki Frontale Compare

Top Goalscorer Romanic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verdy 26 / 100
Kawasaki Frontale 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verdy Kawasaki Frontale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kawasaki Frontale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verdy found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Kawasaki Frontale conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Verdy has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Verdy VS Kawasaki Frontale
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Verdy

(Home)
01 Nov
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 2
Verdy
24 Oct
Verdy
3 : 1
Avispa Fukuoka
21 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 2
Verdy
17 Oct
Verdy
0 : 4
FC Tokyo
11 Oct
Verdy
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 6

Kawasaki Frontale

(Away)
01 Nov
Yokohama F. Marinos
4 : 2
Kawasaki Frontale
28 Oct
Sagan Tosu
0 : 2
Kawasaki Frontale
25 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 1
Okayama
21 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 1
Vissel Kobe
17 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 4
Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Tokyo 13 9 3 1 31:8 30
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13 9 2 2 32:10 29
3 Machida Zelvia 13 8 4 1 30:10 28
4 Kashiwa Reysol 13 9 1 3 29:19 28
5 Vissel Kobe 13 8 2 3 21:12 26
6 Kashima Antlers 13 7 2 4 29:22 23
7 Kawasaki Frontale 13 6 4 3 27:22 22
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 13 5 6 2 20:14 21
9 Urawa Reds 13 7 0 6 21:27 21
10 Okayama 13 5 1 7 15:21 16
11 Nagoya Grampus 13 4 2 7 15:21 14
12 Cerezo Osaka 13 3 5 5 13:23 14
13 Shimizu S-Pulse 13 4 2 7 10:22 14
14 Kyoto 13 3 4 6 17:23 13
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
16 Gamba Osaka 13 2 6 5 14:21 12
17 Verdy 13 2 5 6 11:22 11
18 Chiba 13 2 4 7 15:24 10
19 Mito 13 2 3 8 12:25 9
20 Avispa Fukuoka 13 2 1 10 13:24 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)