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Verdy vs Kumamoto

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Verdy and Kumamoto finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kumamoto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Verdy
35%
Draws
45%
Kumamoto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kumamoto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Verdy's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Kumamoto have produced (1.07).
  • Model gives Kumamoto a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Verdy Clean Sheet 20%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verdy Kumamoto
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Verdy vs Kumamoto
0:2
Jul 2, 2023 J2 League
Kumamoto vs Verdy
0:1
Mar 25, 2023 J2 League
Verdy vs Kumamoto
3:0
Aug 28, 2022 J2 League
Kumamoto vs Verdy
1:0
Apr 9, 2022 J2 League
Verdy vs Kumamoto
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verdy 10 / 100
Kumamoto 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verdy Kumamoto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kumamoto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verdy scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Kumamoto let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Verdy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Verdy VS Kumamoto
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Verdy

(Home)
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1
Verdy
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1
Chiba
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Verdy
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0
Verdy
02 Sept
Verdy
0 : 2
Vissel Kobe
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Kumamoto

(Away)
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2
Kumamoto
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2
Nara Club
02 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 0
Oita Trinita
30 Aug
Kochi United
0 : 2
Kumamoto
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