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Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Verdy host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Verdy have averaged 0.96 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 2.07 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2025, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.88 - 1.88) back Sanfrecce Hiroshima to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Verdy
20%
Draws
56%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sanfrecce Hiroshima come out ahead of Verdy on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sanfrecce Hiroshima here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Verdy Clean Sheet 10%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verdy Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.96 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:3
May 17, 2025 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Verdy
2:1
Aug 7, 2024 J1 League
Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:1
Jun 15, 2024 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Verdy
4:1
May 22, 2024 J.League Cup
Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verdy 10 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verdy Sanfrecce Hiroshima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Verdy scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Sanfrecce Hiroshima conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Verdy has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Verdy VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Verdy

(Home)
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Verdy
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1
Verdy
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1
Chiba
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Verdy
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0
Verdy
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Away)
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 8 6 1 1 12:5 19
2 Kashiwa Reysol 8 6 0 2 17:12 18
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 5 2 1 20:6 17
4 Machida Zelvia 8 5 2 1 21:10 17
5 FC Tokyo 8 5 2 1 14:8 17
6 Yokohama F. Marinos 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Kawasaki Frontale 8 3 4 1 16:12 13
8 Kashima Antlers 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
9 Okayama 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
10 Urawa Reds 8 4 0 4 16:18 12
11 Cerezo Osaka 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 8 3 1 4 6:8 10
13 Mito 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
14 Kyoto 8 2 2 4 11:15 8
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 8 2 2 4 10:15 8
16 Gamba Osaka 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 Nagoya Grampus 8 2 0 6 7:14 6
18 Avispa Fukuoka 8 1 1 6 9:12 4
19 Verdy 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
20 Chiba 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)