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Vere FC vs Toledo

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Miranda J.
61' Event
Lires M.
73'
Breno

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 3 2024 game between Vere FC and Toledo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vere FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vere FC
6%
Draws
4%
Toledo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vere FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vere FC haven't matched Toledo's recent run of results.
  • Vere FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paranaense 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vere FC have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Vere FC Clean Sheet 20%
Toledo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vere FC Toledo
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 Paranaense 3
Toledo vs Vere FC
2:3
Sep 1, 2024 Paranaense 3
Vere FC vs Toledo
3:0
Apr 10, 2022 Paranaense 2
Toledo vs Vere FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vere FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Miranda J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lires M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Toledo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vere FC 85 / 100
Toledo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vere FC Toledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Toledo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.

Vere FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Toledo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vere FC VS Toledo
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vere FC

(Home)
23 Nov
Prudentopolis
0 : 0
Vere FC
16 Nov
Vere FC
0 : 1
Prudentopolis
08 Nov
City London
2 : 3
Vere FC
01 Nov
Vere FC
2 : 2
City London
26 Oct
Rolandia EC
2 : 2
Vere FC
Page 1 of 6

Toledo

(Away)
10 May
Parana
6 : 1
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Parana
25 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 1
Toledo
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
10 Apr
Parana
2 : 0
Toledo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batel851214:816
2Hope Internacional83327:412
3Iraty83327:812
4Araucaria82247:98
5Prudentopolis81345:116
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arapongas861124:519
2Rolandia EC851217:1116
3Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense83238:811
4Campo Mourao831418:1510
5CA Cambe80173:311
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vere FC640211:812
2Toledo64029:712
3Oeste Brasil630310:59
4Uniao PR61051:113
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams