Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East 2022/2023 game between Vereya and Karnobat finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karnobat.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Vereya and Karnobat have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
- Win probability leans Vereya's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Karnobat here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vereya | Karnobat |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 28 | 28 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 3.5 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Karnobat has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Away concern: Karnobat has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Vereya scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Vereya
(Home)Karnobat
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 38 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 84:32 | 83 |
| 2 | Chernomorets 1919 | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 82:26 | 80 |
| 3 | Gigant Saedinenie | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 69:28 | 78 |
| 4 | Zagorets | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 64:19 | 76 |
| 5 | OFC Haskovo | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 68:36 | 69 |
| 6 | Rozova Dolina | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 66:29 | 68 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 73:43 | 65 |
| 8 | Asenovets | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 69:41 | 64 |
| 9 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 38 | 20 | 4 | 14 | 57:33 | 64 |
| 10 | Yambol 1915 | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 57:48 | 57 |
| 11 | Rodopa Smolyan | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 51:48 | 55 |
| 12 | Dimitrovgrad | 38 | 16 | 4 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 13 | Sokol Markovo | 38 | 15 | 3 | 20 | 54:58 | 48 |
| 14 | Levski Karlovo | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 45:69 | 42 |
| 15 | Karnobat | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 37:57 | 41 |
| 16 | Beroe II | 38 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 45:74 | 37 |
| 17 | Atletik Kuklen | 38 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 37:83 | 36 |
| 18 | Sliven | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 58:93 | 36 |
| 19 | Borislav Parvomay | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 34:92 | 21 |
| 20 | Vereya | 38 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 24:163 | 6 |