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Vereya vs Sliven

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023 Trace Arena
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2022/2023 game between Vereya and Sliven finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sliven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vereya
40%
Draws
29%
Sliven
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sliven carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Vereya Clean Sheet 19%
Sliven Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vereya Sliven
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 10
Draws 0 5
Losses 28 16
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Third League - South-East
Vereya vs Sliven
1:4
Aug 28, 2022 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Vereya
7:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vereya 32 / 100
Sliven 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vereya Sliven

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Sliven has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Sliven has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vereya found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Sliven
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nesebar38265784:3283
2Chernomorets 191938248682:2680
3Gigant Saedinenie38239669:2878
4Zagorets382210664:1976
5OFC Haskovo38209968:3669
6Rozova Dolina382081066:2968
7Spartak Plovdiv381981173:4365
8Asenovets381971269:4164
9Lok. Plovdiv II382041457:3364
10Yambol 1915381691357:4857
11Rodopa Smolyan381671551:4855
12Dimitrovgrad381641852:5452
13Sokol Markovo381532054:5848
14Levski Karlovo381262045:6942
15Karnobat381181937:5741
16Beroe II381142345:7437
17Atletik Kuklen381132437:8336
18Sliven381062258:9336
19Borislav Parvomay38562734:9221
20Vereya38203624:1636