Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023 Trace Arena

Vereya

1 - 8

Spartak Plovdiv

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2022/2023 game between Vereya and Spartak Plovdiv finished 1-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Vereya

Draws

90%

Spartak Plovdiv

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Spartak Plovdiv come out ahead of Vereya on wins alone.
Win probability leans Spartak Plovdiv's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Third League - South-East 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Spartak Plovdiv here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Vereya Clean Sheet 14%

Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vereya	Spartak Plovdiv
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	2	15
Draws	0	6
Losses	28	11
Goals Scored	0	2.13
Goals Conceded	0	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 Third League - South-East

Vereya vs Spartak Plovdiv

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 4 - 3

1:8

Oct 26, 2022 Third League - South-East

Spartak Plovdiv vs Vereya

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

7:0

May 8, 2021 Third League - South-East

Spartak Plovdiv vs Vereya

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Oct 31, 2020 Third League - South-East

Vereya vs Spartak Plovdiv

Possession: 40% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vereya 10 / 100

Spartak Plovdiv 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vereya Spartak Plovdiv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Spartak Plovdiv conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Vereya scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Vereya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spartak Plovdiv

0 Goals Scored 2.13

0 Goals Conceded 1.88

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 88%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nesebar	38	26	5	7	84:32	83
2	Chernomorets 1919	38	24	8	6	82:26	80
3	Gigant Saedinenie	38	23	9	6	69:28	78
4	Zagorets	38	22	10	6	64:19	76
5	OFC Haskovo	38	20	9	9	68:36	69
6	Rozova Dolina	38	20	8	10	66:29	68
7	Spartak Plovdiv	38	19	8	11	73:43	65
8	Asenovets	38	19	7	12	69:41	64
9	Lok. Plovdiv II	38	20	4	14	57:33	64
10	Yambol 1915	38	16	9	13	57:48	57
11	Rodopa Smolyan	38	16	7	15	51:48	55
12	Dimitrovgrad	38	16	4	18	52:54	52
13	Sokol Markovo	38	15	3	20	54:58	48
14	Levski Karlovo	38	12	6	20	45:69	42
15	Karnobat	38	11	8	19	37:57	41
16	Beroe II	38	11	4	23	45:74	37
17	Atletik Kuklen	38	11	3	24	37:83	36
18	Sliven	38	10	6	22	58:93	36
19	Borislav Parvomay	38	5	6	27	34:92	21
20	Vereya	38	2	0	36	24:163	6