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Veria vs Ethnikos Neou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 Veria Stadium, Veria
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Veria and Ethnikos Neou finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethnikos Neou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Veria
15%
Draws
39%
Ethnikos Neou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Veria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ethnikos Neou come out ahead of Veria on wins alone.
  • Veria are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ethnikos Neou here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Veria Clean Sheet 15%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Veria Ethnikos Neou
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.34 2.2
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.99 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Veria vs Ethnikos Neou
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Veria vs Ethnikos Neou
2:3
Nov 2, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Veria
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Veria 66 / 100
Ethnikos Neou 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Veria Ethnikos Neou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Veria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Veria's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ethnikos Neou has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Veria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Veria VS Ethnikos Neou
0.86 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
43% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Veria

(Home)
08 Apr
Pierikos
0 : 3
Veria
05 Apr
Veria
0 : 1
Ethnikos Neou
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
28 Mar
Apollon Kalamaria
1 : 0
Veria
22 Mar
Veria
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
Page 1 of 6

Ethnikos Neou

(Away)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)