Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Verl vs Fortuna Koln

Germany Germany

3. Liga Sportclub Arena, Verl
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Telle N.
43'
Majetic L.
59'
Sub
Thier N. In: Heister F.
Out: Thier N.

AI Match Summary

Fortuna Koln in this 3. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortuna Koln.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Verl
35%
Draws
30%
Fortuna Koln
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Fortuna Koln have won more games recently than Verl.
  • Win probability leans Fortuna Koln's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Verl Clean Sheet 10%
Fortuna Koln Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verl Fortuna Koln
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 3 8
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.97 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 3. Liga
Verl vs Fortuna Koln
1:2
Apr 1, 2020 Regionalliga West
Verl vs Fortuna Koln
0:0
Sep 20, 2019 Regionalliga West
Fortuna Koln vs Verl
0:2
Mar 15, 2014 Regionalliga West
Verl vs Fortuna Koln
0:0
Sep 21, 2013 Regionalliga West
Fortuna Koln vs Verl
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verl Compare

Top Goalscorer Farouk A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Fortuna Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Aigbekaen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bornemann T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verl 10 / 100
Fortuna Koln 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verl Fortuna Koln

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Koln Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verl found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Fortuna Koln's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Verl has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Verl VS Fortuna Koln
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Verl

(Home)
15 Sept
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 1
Verl
12 Sept
Verl
2 : 1
Meppen
05 Sept
Mannheim
0 : 1
Verl
29 Aug
Verl
1 : 2
Fortuna Koln
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3
Hamburger
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Fortuna Koln

(Away)
13 Sept
Hoffenheim II
2 : 2
Fortuna Koln
06 Sept
Fortuna Koln
0 : 0
Dusseldorf
29 Aug
Verl
1 : 2
Fortuna Koln
15 Aug
Fortuna Koln
1 : 1
Alemannia Aachen
08 Aug
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 0
Fortuna Koln
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 6 5 0 1 15:6 15
2 FC Viktoria Koln 6 4 0 2 16:9 12
3 RW Essen 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
4 Preussen Munster 5 3 1 1 9:8 10
5 Dusseldorf 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
6 Saarbrucken 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
7 Alemannia Aachen 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
8 Ingolstadt 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
9 Hansa Rostock 5 2 2 1 11:12 8
10 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Hoffenheim II 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
12 Mannheim 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
13 Wurzburger Kickers 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
14 Verl 6 2 1 3 8:12 7
15 Fortuna Koln 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
16 VfB Stuttgart II 5 2 0 3 7:9 6
17 Meppen 6 2 0 4 8:14 6
18 TSV Havelse 6 1 1 4 9:12 4
19 Regensburg 6 1 1 4 10:14 4
20 Wehen 5 0 2 3 2:9 2
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)