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Verl vs Fortuna Koln - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Sportclub Arena, Verl
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Telle N.
43'
Majetic L.
59'
Sub
Thier N. In: Heister F.
Out: Thier N.

AI Match Summary

Fortuna Koln in this 3. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortuna Koln.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Verl
30%
Draws
23%
Fortuna Koln
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Verl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Fortuna Koln have won more games recently than Verl.
  • Win probability leans Verl's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Verl Clean Sheet 20%
Fortuna Koln Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verl Fortuna Koln
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 3. Liga
Verl vs Fortuna Koln
1:2
Apr 1, 2020 Regionalliga West
Verl vs Fortuna Koln
0:0
Sep 20, 2019 Regionalliga West
Fortuna Koln vs Verl
0:2
Mar 15, 2014 Regionalliga West
Verl vs Fortuna Koln
0:0
Sep 21, 2013 Regionalliga West
Fortuna Koln vs Verl
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verl Compare

Top Goalscorer Farouk A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Fortuna Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Aigbekaen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bornemann T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verl 36 / 100
Fortuna Koln 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verl Fortuna Koln

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verl found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Fortuna Koln's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Fortuna Koln registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Verl VS Fortuna Koln
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Verl

(Home)
31 Oct
Verl
1 : 4
Wehen
24 Oct
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 1
Verl
18 Oct
Hoffenheim II
2 : 1
Verl
14 Oct
Verl
2 : 2
Regensburg
11 Oct
Dusseldorf
2 : 2
Verl
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Fortuna Koln

(Away)
31 Oct
Fortuna Koln
1 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers
25 Oct
Preussen Munster
1 : 0
Fortuna Koln
16 Oct
Fortuna Koln
0 : 1
VfB Stuttgart II
13 Oct
RW Essen
2 : 0
Fortuna Koln
10 Oct
Fortuna Koln
0 : 0
Saarbrucken
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Viktoria Koln 12 8 2 2 31:15 26
2 Duisburg 12 8 2 2 31:17 26
3 RW Essen 12 7 3 2 20:13 24
4 Saarbrucken 12 6 2 4 28:21 20
5 Alemannia Aachen 12 6 2 4 19:18 20
6 Wehen 12 5 3 4 23:17 18
7 Ingolstadt 12 5 3 4 16:17 18
8 Mannheim 12 5 1 6 21:19 16
9 Hoffenheim II 12 5 1 6 21:20 16
10 Dusseldorf 12 4 4 4 12:14 16
11 Hansa Rostock 12 4 4 4 19:22 16
12 Meppen 12 4 3 5 16:17 15
13 VfB Stuttgart II 12 4 3 5 21:23 15
14 Preussen Munster 12 4 3 5 20:23 15
15 Wurzburger Kickers 12 4 2 6 17:24 14
16 Regensburg 12 3 4 5 22:21 13
17 Verl 12 3 3 6 17:26 12
18 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 12 3 3 6 13:26 12
19 Fortuna Koln 12 2 4 6 9:14 10
20 TSV Havelse 12 2 4 6 17:26 10
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)