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Verl vs Regensburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Sportclub Arena, Verl
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Verl host Regensburg in the 3. Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Verl at 1.79 goals for, 1.38 against; Regensburg at 1.74 for, 1.89 against. Head-to-head, Verl have won 0 to Regensburg's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.94 - 1.50) back Regensburg to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Verl
30%
Draws
12%
Regensburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Verl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Verl lately — more wins on the board than Regensburg.
  • Verl are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Regensburg here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Verl Clean Sheet 16%
Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verl Regensburg
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 3. Liga
Verl vs Regensburg
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 3. Liga
Regensburg vs Verl
2:0
Jan 20, 2024 3. Liga
Regensburg vs Verl
1:1
Aug 20, 2023 3. Liga
Verl vs Regensburg
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verl 84 / 100
Regensburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verl Regensburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Verl Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Regensburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Verl's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Verl has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Verl VS Regensburg
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Verl

(Home)
03 Oct
Hannover
2 : 0
Verl
18 Sept
Verl
2 : 1
Wurzburger Kickers
15 Sept
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 1
Verl
12 Sept
Verl
2 : 1
Meppen
05 Sept
Mannheim
0 : 1
Verl
Page 1 of 6

Regensburg

(Away)
01 Oct
Regensburg
0 : 6
Tirol
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart II
3 : 3
Regensburg
15 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Dusseldorf
12 Sept
Alemannia Aachen
2 : 2
Regensburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Duisburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Preussen Munster 8 3 3 2 15:16 12
8 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Fortuna Koln 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
15 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
16 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 7 1 1 5 10:15 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)