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Verl vs RW Essen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Sportclub Arena, Verl
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Verl host RW Essen in the 3. Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Verl at 1.79 goals for, 1.59 against; RW Essen at 2.1 for, 1.57 against. Past meetings favor Verl slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.13) point toward RW Essen. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Verl
20%
Draws
65%
RW Essen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • RW Essen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on RW Essen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Verl Clean Sheet 10%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verl RW Essen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.79 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Verl
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 3. Liga
Verl vs RW Essen
0:0
Mar 28, 2025 3. Liga
Verl vs RW Essen
3:0
Oct 23, 2024 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Verl
1:3
Mar 10, 2024 3. Liga
Verl vs RW Essen
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verl 14 / 100
RW Essen 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verl RW Essen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RW Essen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Verl scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

RW Essen has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Verl remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Verl VS RW Essen
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Verl

(Home)
31 Oct
Verl
1 : 4
Wehen
24 Oct
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 1
Verl
18 Oct
Hoffenheim II
2 : 1
Verl
14 Oct
Verl
2 : 2
Regensburg
11 Oct
Dusseldorf
2 : 2
Verl
Page 1 of 6

RW Essen

(Away)
01 Nov
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
0 : 1
RW Essen
27 Oct
RW Essen
1 : 2
RB Leipzig
23 Oct
RW Essen
1 : 0
Regensburg
17 Oct
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
RW Essen
13 Oct
RW Essen
2 : 0
Fortuna Koln
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Viktoria Koln 12 8 2 2 31:15 26
2 Duisburg 12 8 2 2 31:17 26
3 RW Essen 12 7 3 2 20:13 24
4 Saarbrucken 12 6 2 4 28:21 20
5 Alemannia Aachen 12 6 2 4 19:18 20
6 Wehen 12 5 3 4 23:17 18
7 Ingolstadt 12 5 3 4 16:17 18
8 Mannheim 12 5 1 6 21:19 16
9 Hoffenheim II 12 5 1 6 21:20 16
10 Dusseldorf 12 4 4 4 12:14 16
11 Hansa Rostock 12 4 4 4 19:22 16
12 Meppen 12 4 3 5 16:17 15
13 VfB Stuttgart II 12 4 3 5 21:23 15
14 Preussen Munster 12 4 3 5 20:23 15
15 Wurzburger Kickers 12 4 2 6 17:24 14
16 Regensburg 12 3 4 5 22:21 13
17 Verl 12 3 3 6 17:26 12
18 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 12 3 3 6 13:26 12
19 Fortuna Koln 12 2 4 6 9:14 10
20 TSV Havelse 12 2 4 6 17:26 10
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)