Sport Picks
Verl vs TSV Havelse Prediction & H2H Stats
Germany
3. Liga 2025/2026 Sportclub Arena, Verl 
Match Events
34'
34'
Duker J.
41'
41'
Sub
Waidner D. In: Wessig F.
Out: Waidner D.
42'
42'
Duah D.
AI Match Summary
The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between Verl and TSV Havelse finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Verl.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Verl
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Verl carry the better recent record into this one.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on Verl taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Verl Clean Sheet 11%
TSV Havelse Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Verl | TSV Havelse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 25 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 3. Liga
Verl vs TSV Havelse
4:0
Dec 6, 2025 3. Liga
TSV Havelse vs Verl
2:2
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
TSV Havelse vs Verl
1:1
Mar 19, 2022 3. Liga
TSV Havelse vs Verl
1:3
Oct 18, 2021 3. Liga
Verl vs TSV Havelse
5:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Verl Compare
Top Goalscorer Mhamdi O.
2 Goals Assists Leader Worner M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
TSV Havelse Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Verl 83 / 100
TSV Havelse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Verl TSV Havelse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Verl Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TSV Havelse let in goals in 92% of their last 25 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Verl scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Verl remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Verl VS TSV Havelse
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Verl
(Home) 18 Sept
Verl
2 : 1 Wurzburger Kickers
15 Sept
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 1 Verl
12 Sept
Verl
2 : 1 Meppen
05 Sept
Mannheim
0 : 1 Verl
29 Aug
Verl
1 : 2 Fortuna Koln
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18 Sept
Verl
2 : 1 Wurzburger Kickers
12 Sept
Verl
2 : 1 Meppen
29 Aug
Verl
1 : 2 Fortuna Koln
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3 Hamburger
15 Aug
Verl
2 : 4 Duisburg
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TSV Havelse
(Away) 01 Oct
Wolfsburg
4 : 1 TSV Havelse
25 Sept
TSV Havelse
1 : 3 Fortuna Koln
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1 TSV Havelse
12 Sept
TSV Havelse
2 : 2 Sonnenhof Grossaspach
05 Sept
Preussen Munster
2 : 1 TSV Havelse
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01 Oct
Wolfsburg
4 : 1 TSV Havelse
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1 TSV Havelse
05 Sept
Preussen Munster
2 : 1 TSV Havelse
15 Aug
RW Essen
1 : 0 TSV Havelse
31 Jul
Fulda-Lehnerz
0 : 0 TSV Havelse
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 80 |
| 2 | Energie Cottbus | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 72 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 70 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 68 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 67 |
| 6 | Verl | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 64 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 64 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | 52 |
| 11 | FC Viktoria Koln | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Ingolstadt | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 49 |
| 13 | Regensburg | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | 49 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart II | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | 46 |
| 15 | Saarbrucken | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | 44 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | 43 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | 35 |
| 18 | Aue | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | 34 |
| 19 | Ulm | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | 33 |
| 20 | 1. FC Schweinfurt | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | 21 |
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
