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Vermont Green vs Black Rock

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USL League Two 2025 Virtue Field
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AI Match Summary

Vermont Green play Black Rock in the USL League Two 2025. Vermont Green are favorites here. Recently, Vermont Green averaged 3.42 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Black Rock averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Vermont Green won 5, Black Rock won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 26, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.94 for Vermont Green and 1.19 for Black Rock. This points to a Vermont Green double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Vermont Green
15%
Draws
29%
Black Rock
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vermont Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Vermont Green picked up more points recently compared to Black Rock.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.94 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Vermont Green Clean Sheet 20%
Black Rock Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vermont Green Black Rock
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 27 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 3.42 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 4.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Black Rock
3:1
May 27, 2026 USL League Two
Black Rock vs Vermont Green
1:2
Jul 5, 2025 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Black Rock
3:1
Jun 10, 2025 USL League Two
Black Rock vs Vermont Green
0:2
May 28, 2024 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Black Rock
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vermont Green 54 / 100
Black Rock 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vermont Green Black Rock

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vermont Green Win (1)
Secondary Pick Vermont Green & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vermont Green attacking → ← attacking Black Rock

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vermont Green scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Black Rock let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Vermont Green went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Black Rock lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

84 Points in last 5 45
4.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25