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Vermont Green vs Ocean City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League Two Virtue Field, Burlington, VT
Vermont Green Logo

Vermont Green

4 - 0
FT
Ocean City Logo

Ocean City

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Vermont Green
15%
Draws
34%
Ocean City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vermont Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vermont Green lately — more wins on the board than Ocean City.
  • Vermont Green are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Vermont Green have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vermont Green, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Vermont Green Clean Sheet 11%
Ocean City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vermont Green Ocean City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 27 21
Draws 2 4
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 3.77 2.4
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Ocean City
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vermont Green 83 / 100
Ocean City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vermont Green Ocean City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vermont Green Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vermont Green scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vermont Green stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ocean City has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vermont Green VS Ocean City
4.88 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vermont Green

(Home)
01 Aug
Flint City
1 : 2
Vermont Green
27 Jul
Laredo Heat
1 : 7
Vermont Green
24 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Asheville City
19 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ocean City
17 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ironbound SC
Page 1 of 6

Ocean City

(Away)
19 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ocean City
17 Jul
Ocean City
2 : 0
Motown 2
11 Jul
Ocean City
2 : 0
Eagle FC
08 Jul
Ocean City
2 : 2
LVU Rush
02 Jul
LVU Rush
1 : 3
Ocean City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Flint City 2
Buffalo 0
Steel City 1
Northern Indiana 0
Peoria IL 3
Sueno 2
Minneapolis City 2
West Virginia 0
Ballard 2
Utah United 1
Colorado Storm 2
Snohomish United 1
San Francisco City 1
Tucson 0
Ventura 1
Project 51O 0
Fort Lauderdale United 4
Swarm FC 0
Dothan United 0
Brave SC 1
Laredo Heat 2
Texoma FC 0
Little Rock Rangers 1
GFI Woodlands 2
Vermont Green 4
Ironbound SC 0
Ocean City 2
Motown 2 0
Lionsbridge 2
Asheville City 3
Charlotte Independence 2 0
Appalachian FC 2
1/8-finals
Flint City 2
Steel City 1
Peoria IL 4
Minneapolis City 0
Ballard 4
Colorado Storm 3
San Francisco City 1
Ventura 6
Fort Lauderdale United 3
Brave SC 0
Laredo Heat 6
GFI Woodlands 1
Vermont Green 4
Ocean City 0
Asheville City 4
Appalachian FC 2
Quarter-finals
Flint City 4
Peoria IL 0
Ballard 1
Ventura 2
Fort Lauderdale United 1
Laredo Heat 2
Vermont Green 4
Asheville City 0
Semi-finals
Flint City 1
Ventura 0
Laredo Heat 1
Vermont Green 7
Final
Flint City 1
Vermont Green 2