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Stadium Background

Verona vs AC Milan

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Oyegoke D. In: Lirola P.
Out: Oyegoke D.
24'
Akpa Akpro J.
41' Event
Rabiot A.
Assist: Leao R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Verona and AC Milan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Milan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Verona
20%
Draws
47%
AC Milan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AC Milan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Verona haven't matched AC Milan's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AC Milan have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Verona Clean Sheet 19%
AC Milan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verona AC Milan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie A
Verona vs AC Milan
0:1
Dec 28, 2025 Serie A
AC Milan vs Verona
3:0
Feb 15, 2025 Serie A
AC Milan vs Verona
1:0
Dec 20, 2024 Serie A
Verona vs AC Milan
0:1
Mar 17, 2024 Serie A
Verona vs AC Milan
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

AC Milan Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabiot A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verona 36 / 100
AC Milan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verona AC Milan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Milan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Milan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Verona stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Verona found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Verona VS AC Milan
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Verona

(Home)
29 Aug
Padova
1 : 1
Verona
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2
Ascoli
16 Aug
Verona
3 : 2
Entella
07 Aug
Verona
0 : 1
Cremonese
02 Aug
Verona
3 : 0
Lecco
Page 1 of 6

AC Milan

(Away)
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
23 Aug
Torino
1 : 2
AC Milan
15 Aug
Manchester United
2 : 4
AC Milan
08 Aug
Chelsea
3 : 0
AC Milan
05 Aug
AC Milan
1 : 1
Inter
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)