Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Verona vs AS Roma

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Valentini N.
45'
Lovric S.
46'
Sub
Ghilardi D. In: Ziolkowski J.
Out: Ghilardi D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Verona and AS Roma finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Roma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Verona
6%
Draws
90%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AS Roma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • AS Roma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on AS Roma taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AS Roma have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Verona Clean Sheet 13%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verona AS Roma
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 3 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie A
Verona vs AS Roma
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Serie A
AS Roma vs Verona
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Serie A
AS Roma vs Verona
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Serie A
Verona vs AS Roma
3:2
Jan 20, 2024 Serie A
AS Roma vs Verona
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

AS Roma Compare

Top Goalscorer Malen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Shaarawy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verona 10 / 100
AS Roma 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verona AS Roma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Verona remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Verona scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

AS Roma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Verona VS AS Roma
0.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter38276589:3587
2Napoli38237858:3676
3AS Roma382341159:3173
4Como382011765:2971
5AC Milan382010853:3570
6Juventus381912761:3469
7Atalanta381514951:3659
8Bologna381681449:4656
9Lazio3814121241:4054
10Udinese381481645:4850
11Sassuolo381471746:5049
12Torino381291744:6345
13Parma3811121528:4645
14Cagliari3811101740:5343
15Fiorentina389151441:5042
16Genoa3810111741:5141
17Lecce381082028:5038
18Cremonese388102032:5734
19Verona383122325:6121
20Pisa382122426:7118