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Verona vs AS Roma Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Valentini N.
45'
Lovric S.
46'
Sub
Ghilardi D. In: Ziolkowski J.
Out: Ghilardi D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Verona and AS Roma finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Roma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Verona
30%
Draws
37%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Roma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • AS Roma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on AS Roma taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AS Roma have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Verona Clean Sheet 12%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verona AS Roma
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.28 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie A
Verona vs AS Roma
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Serie A
AS Roma vs Verona
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Serie A
AS Roma vs Verona
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Serie A
Verona vs AS Roma
3:2
Jan 20, 2024 Serie A
AS Roma vs Verona
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

AS Roma Compare

Top Goalscorer Malen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Shaarawy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verona 22 / 100
AS Roma 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verona AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verona found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: AS Roma conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Verona stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Verona VS AS Roma
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Verona

(Home)
20 Sept
Verona
2 : 1
Vicenza
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
29 Aug
Padova
1 : 1
Verona
Page 1 of 6

AS Roma

(Away)
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2
Inter
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2
AS Roma
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1
Atalanta
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)