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Verona vs Ascoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mulattieri S.
Assist: Le Borgne A.
39'
Corradini G.
41'
Le Borgne A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Verona and Ascoli finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Verona
35%
Draws
34%
Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ascoli come out ahead of Verona on wins alone.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Verona Clean Sheet 15%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verona Ascoli
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.59 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie B
Verona vs Ascoli
1:2
Aug 12, 2023 Coppa Italia
Verona vs Ascoli
3:1
Mar 16, 2019 Serie B
Verona vs Ascoli
1:1
Oct 30, 2018 Serie B
Ascoli vs Verona
1:0
Mar 13, 2017 Serie B
Verona vs Ascoli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verona Compare

Top Goalscorer Mulattieri S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Silipo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader D'Uffizi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verona 31 / 100
Ascoli 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verona Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verona found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Verona stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ascoli has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Verona VS Ascoli
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Verona

(Home)
01 Nov
Verona
3 : 0
Carrarese
28 Oct
Juve Stabia
0 : 1
Verona
25 Oct
Verona
1 : 1
Pisa
16 Oct
Verona
2 : 2
Catanzaro
11 Oct
Modena
3 : 2
Verona
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Ascoli

(Away)
01 Nov
Arezzo
0 : 0
Ascoli
27 Oct
Ascoli
2 : 0
Sampdoria
24 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 6
Ascoli
17 Oct
Ascoli
1 : 1
Empoli
10 Oct
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Ascoli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)