Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Verona vs Genoa

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Oyegoke D.
31'
Akpa Akpro J.
46'
Sub
Oyegoke D. In: Belghali R.
Out: Oyegoke D.

AI Match Summary

Genoa in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Genoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Verona
20%
Draws
23%
Genoa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Verona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Genoa have won more games recently than Verona.
  • Win probability leans Verona's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Verona Clean Sheet 68%
Genoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verona Genoa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie A
Verona vs Genoa
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Serie A
Genoa vs Verona
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 Serie A
Verona vs Genoa
0:0
Sep 1, 2024 Serie A
Genoa vs Verona
0:2
Apr 7, 2024 Serie A
Verona vs Genoa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Genoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ostigard L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verona 95 / 100
Genoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verona Genoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Verona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verona's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Genoa conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Verona has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Verona VS Genoa
2 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Verona

(Home)
20 Sept
Verona
2 : 1
Vicenza
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
29 Aug
Padova
1 : 1
Verona
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Genoa

(Away)
20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1
Genoa
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1
Frosinone
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0
Genoa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)