Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Versailles vs Caen

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Municipal Georges Lefèvre, Saint-Germain-en-Laye
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Sagnan S.
42' Event
Odzoumo C.
49' Event
Guillaume S.
Assist: Renaud T.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Versailles and Caen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Versailles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Versailles
20%
Draws
47%
Caen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Versailles carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Caen a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Versailles Clean Sheet 12%
Caen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Versailles Caen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 13
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.34 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Caen
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 Ligue 3
Caen vs Versailles
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Caen vs Versailles
3:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Caen vs Versailles
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Versailles Compare

Top Goalscorer Odzoumo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guillaume S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Caen Compare

Top Goalscorer Botella I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Versailles 11 / 100
Caen 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Versailles Caen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Versailles found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Caen has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Versailles stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Versailles VS Caen
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Versailles

(Home)
07 Aug
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Versailles
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
22 Jul
Le Mans
3 : 1
Versailles
11 Jul
Metz
1 : 1
Versailles
08 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

Caen

(Away)
07 Aug
Caen
4 : 0
Valenciennes
31 Jul
Caen
1 : 1
Dieppe
25 Jul
Caen
4 : 1
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Caen
4 : 2
Laval
15 Jul
Caen
3 : 4
Paris 13 Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)