Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Versailles vs Chateauroux

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Municipal Georges Lefèvre, Saint-Germain-en-Laye
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Mopila S.
11'
Ouchen A.
21' Event
Fischer M.
Assist: Ouchen A.

AI Match Summary

Versailles in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Versailles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Versailles
33%
Draws
27%
Chateauroux
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Versailles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Versailles have won more games recently than Chateauroux.
  • Win probability leans Versailles's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Versailles Clean Sheet 68%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Versailles Chateauroux
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Chateauroux
4:0
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Versailles
1:3
Mar 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Versailles
2:2
Oct 23, 2024 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Chateauroux
1:0
Feb 23, 2024 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Chateauroux
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Versailles Compare

Top Goalscorer Guillaume S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fischer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chateauroux Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Versailles 50 / 100
Chateauroux 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Versailles Chateauroux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chateauroux conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Versailles found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Versailles stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Versailles VS Chateauroux
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Versailles

(Home)
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
22 Jul
Le Mans
3 : 1
Versailles
11 Jul
Metz
1 : 1
Versailles
08 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Versailles
15 May
Versailles
2 : 2
Stade Briochin
Page 1 of 6

Chateauroux

(Away)
15 May
Valenciennes
2 : 2
Chateauroux
09 May
Chateauroux
2 : 1
Sochaux
30 Apr
Dijon
1 : 2
Chateauroux
24 Apr
Chateauroux
0 : 2
Fleury-Merogis
17 Apr
Versailles
4 : 0
Chateauroux
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)