Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Versailles vs Chateauroux

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Municipal Georges Lefèvre, Saint-Germain-en-Laye
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Mopila S.
11'
Ouchen A.
21' Event
Fischer M.
Assist: Ouchen A.

AI Match Summary

Versailles in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Versailles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Versailles
30%
Draws
16%
Chateauroux
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Versailles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Versailles have won more games recently than Chateauroux.
  • Win probability leans Versailles's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Versailles Clean Sheet 68%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Versailles Chateauroux
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.53 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Chateauroux
4:0
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Versailles
1:3
Mar 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Versailles
2:2
Oct 23, 2024 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Chateauroux
1:0
Feb 23, 2024 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Chateauroux
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Versailles Compare

Top Goalscorer Guillaume S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fischer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Chateauroux Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Versailles 50 / 100
Chateauroux 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Versailles Chateauroux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Versailles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chateauroux conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Versailles found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Versailles stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Versailles VS Chateauroux
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Versailles

(Home)
19 Sept
Versailles
0 : 0
Quevilly
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Versailles
0 : 3
Cannes
29 Aug
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Versailles
20 Aug
Bastia
2 : 3
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

Chateauroux

(Away)
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
05 Sept
Touraine
1 : 1
Chateauroux
28 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Hyeres
22 Aug
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0
Chateauroux
01 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Bourges
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)