Sport Picks

Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2016/2017

Dnepr Mogilev

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vertical Kalinkovichi play Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarusian Cup 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vertical Kalinkovichi averaged 1.09 goals scored and 3.27 conceded. Dnepr Mogilev averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Vertical Kalinkovichi won 1, Dnepr Mogilev won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 11, 2016 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Vertical Kalinkovichi and 4.00 for Dnepr Mogilev. This points to a Vertical Kalinkovichi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Vertical Kalinkovichi

20%

Draws

38%

Dnepr Mogilev

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vertical Kalinkovichi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Vertical Kalinkovichi picked up more points recently compared to Dnepr Mogilev.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 4.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Vertical Kalinkovichi Clean Sheet 10%

Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vertical Kalinkovichi	Dnepr Mogilev
Matches Played	11	31
Wins	3	6
Draws	0	8
Losses	8	17
Goals Scored	1.09	1.06
Goals Conceded	3.27	1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	7.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2016 Belarusian Cup

Vertical Kalinkovichi vs Dnepr Mogilev

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vertical Kalinkovichi 40 / 100

Dnepr Mogilev 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vertical Kalinkovichi Dnepr Mogilev

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vertical Kalinkovichi or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vertical Kalinkovichi attacking → ← attacking Dnepr Mogilev

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vertical Kalinkovichi scored in 55% of their last 11 games.

Dnepr Mogilev let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vertical Kalinkovichi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Dnepr Mogilev lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 26

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

7.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00