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Vertical Kalinkovichi vs Isloch Minsk

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vertical Kalinkovichi play Isloch Minsk in the Belarusian Cup 2016/2017. Isloch Minsk are favorites here. Recently, Vertical Kalinkovichi averaged 1.09 goals scored and 3.27 conceded. Isloch Minsk averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. In past meetings, Vertical Kalinkovichi won 0, Isloch Minsk won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 26, 2016 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Vertical Kalinkovichi and 4.00 for Isloch Minsk. This points to a Isloch Minsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Vertical Kalinkovichi
17%
Draws
68%
Isloch Minsk
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Isloch Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vertical Kalinkovichi picked up more points recently compared to Isloch Minsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Vertical Kalinkovichi Clean Sheet 10%
Isloch Minsk Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vertical Kalinkovichi Isloch Minsk
Matches Played 11 32
Wins 3 19
Draws 0 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.09 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.27 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2016 Belarusian Cup
Vertical Kalinkovichi vs Isloch Minsk
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vertical Kalinkovichi Compare

Top Goalscorer Fedorenko I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Isloch Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Krotov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Komarovskiy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vertical Kalinkovichi 16 / 100
Isloch Minsk 64 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vertical Kalinkovichi Isloch Minsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Isloch Minsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Isloch Minsk & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vertical Kalinkovichi attacking → ← attacking Isloch Minsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vertical Kalinkovichi scored in 55% of their last 11 games.

Isloch Minsk let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Vertical Kalinkovichi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Isloch Minsk lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 64
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
7.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13