Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Verzej vs Ljutomer

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Verzej in this 3. SNL - East 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Verzej.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Verzej
35%
Draws
46%
Ljutomer
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ljutomer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ljutomer have won more games recently than Verzej.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Ljutomer taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Verzej Clean Sheet 20%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verzej Ljutomer
Matches Played 37 51
Wins 10 19
Draws 8 14
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.38 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2019 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Verzej
3:1
Apr 27, 2019 3. SNL - East
Verzej vs Ljutomer
2:1
Mar 30, 2019 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Verzej
1:2
Oct 13, 2018 3. SNL - East
Verzej vs Ljutomer
0:0
Jun 15, 2013 3. SNL - East
Verzej vs Ljutomer
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verzej 10 / 100
Ljutomer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verzej Ljutomer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljutomer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ljutomer conceded in 82% of 51 recent games.

Verzej scored in 68% of their last 37 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Verzej stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ljutomer
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Verzej

(Home)
18 Oct
NK Gancani
5 : 2
Verzej
19 Oct
Cven
2 : 0
Verzej
02 Nov
Radgona
0 : 0
Verzej
26 Oct
Verzej
3 : 3
Bistrica
19 Oct
Verzej
0 : 4
Sampion Celje
Page 1 of 8

Ljutomer

(Away)
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
22 Aug
Odranci
3 : 1
Ljutomer
Page 1 of 11

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grad 27 18 6 3 63:25 60
2 Odranci 27 17 8 2 62:26 59
3 NK Polana 27 16 4 7 57:39 52
4 Ljutomer 27 13 8 6 59:42 47
5 Verzej 27 11 8 8 47:41 41
6 Crensovci 27 10 2 15 39:65 32
7 Turnisce 27 7 6 14 36:59 27
8 Tromejnik 27 7 3 17 39:59 24
9 Hotiza 27 4 8 15 29:51 20
10 Radgona 27 3 5 19 28:52 14
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs (Promotion - Play Offs)