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Vestfossen vs Holmen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2017 game between Vestfossen and Holmen finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vestfossen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Vestfossen
15%
Draws
0%
Holmen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vestfossen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vestfossen come out ahead of Holmen on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Vestfossen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vestfossen here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vestfossen Clean Sheet 15%
Holmen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vestfossen Holmen
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 10 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.62 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.62 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2017 Division 3 - Group 1
Vestfossen vs Holmen
3:1
Jun 17, 2017 Division 3 - Group 1
Holmen vs Vestfossen
0:1
Aug 3, 2016 Division 3 - Group 4
Vestfossen vs Holmen
6:1
Apr 9, 2016 Division 3 - Group 4
Holmen vs Vestfossen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vestfossen 84 / 100
Holmen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vestfossen Holmen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vestfossen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Holmen conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Holmen's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Vestfossen scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Vestfossen VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vestfossen

(Home)
13 Aug
Vestfossen
1 : 5
Mjondalen
25 Jul
Vestfossen
1 : 3
Moss
26 Oct
Vestfossen
9 : 0
Valdres
19 Oct
Brann 2
5 : 1
Vestfossen
12 Oct
Vestfossen
2 : 4
Sogndal 2
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Holmen

(Away)
21 Oct
Holmen
0 : 6
Moss
14 Oct
Oppsal
5 : 0
Holmen
07 Oct
Holmen
0 : 3
Ullern
30 Sept
Vestfossen
3 : 1
Holmen
23 Sept
Holmen
1 : 3
Drobak-Frogn
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