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Vestri vs Leiknir Reykjavik Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass, Ísafjörður
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Selven J.
Assist: Balde I.
34'
Campos M.
38'
Olafsson O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Vestri and Leiknir Reykjavik finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vestri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vestri
15%
Draws
42%
Leiknir Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vestri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Leiknir Reykjavik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Leiknir Reykjavik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vestri have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%
Leiknir Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vestri Leiknir Reykjavik
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.22 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Division 1
Vestri vs Leiknir Reykjavik
2:0
Jun 13, 2026 Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Vestri
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Vestri vs Leiknir Reykjavik
1:0
Aug 20, 2023 Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Vestri
1:2
Jun 28, 2023 Division 1
Vestri vs Leiknir Reykjavik
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vestri Compare

Top Goalscorer Selven J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Leiknir Reykjavik Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vestri 10 / 100
Leiknir Reykjavik 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vestri Leiknir Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiknir Reykjavik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vestri scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Leiknir Reykjavik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Leiknir Reykjavik's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vestri VS Leiknir Reykjavik
1 Goals Scored 1.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vestri

(Home)
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0
Vestri
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
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Leiknir Reykjavik

(Away)
05 Sept
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
2 : 0
Njardvik
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Leiknir Reykjavik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)