Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vestri vs Njardvik

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass, Ísafjörður
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bjarkason B.
12'
Sub
Morfelt C. In: Bjarnason P.
Out: Morfelt C.
18' Event
Bjarkason B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Vestri and Njardvik finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Njardvik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vestri
15%
Draws
51%
Njardvik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Njardvik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Njardvik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Njardvik's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Njardvik have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%
Njardvik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vestri Njardvik
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 1
Njardvik vs Vestri
3:1
May 27, 2026 Division 1
Vestri vs Njardvik
0:3
Aug 12, 2023 Division 1
Njardvik vs Vestri
2:0
Jun 3, 2023 Division 1
Vestri vs Njardvik
2:0
Sep 2, 2017 Division 2
Njardvik vs Vestri
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vestri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Njardvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjarkason B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gudnason F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vestri 22 / 100
Njardvik 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vestri Njardvik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Njardvik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vestri scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Njardvik has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vestri stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vestri VS Njardvik
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vestri

(Home)
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0
Vestri
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Njardvik

(Away)
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
2 : 0
Njardvik
22 Aug
Njardvik
4 : 0
Volsungur
17 Aug
IR Reykjavik
3 : 1
Njardvik
13 Aug
Grotta
1 : 4
Njardvik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)