Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VFB Bottrop vs RW Essen

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Brumme L.
49' Event
Kaiser N.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Harenbrock C.

AI Match Summary

RW Essen in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored RW Essen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
VFB Bottrop
30%
Draws
64%
RW Essen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • RW Essen have won more games recently than VFB Bottrop.
  • RW Essen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors RW Essen here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
VFB Bottrop Clean Sheet 10%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VFB Bottrop RW Essen
Matches Played 11 32
Wins 1 21
Draws 2 2
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.82 3.06
Goals Conceded 6.82 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
VFB Bottrop vs RW Essen
0:11
Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
VFB Bottrop vs RW Essen
0:10
Jul 4, 2023 Club Friendly
VFB Bottrop vs RW Essen
0:8
Jun 23, 2019 Club Friendly
VFB Bottrop vs RW Essen
0:13

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VFB Bottrop Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

RW Essen Compare

Top Goalscorer Voelcke S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brumme L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VFB Bottrop 10 / 100
RW Essen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VFB Bottrop RW Essen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RW Essen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 10.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: VFB Bottrop scored in 27% of their last 11 outings.

Defensive concern: RW Essen conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: VFB Bottrop remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

VFB Bottrop VS RW Essen
0 Goals Scored 2.88
11 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

VFB Bottrop

(Home)
04 Jul
VFB Bottrop
0 : 11
RW Essen
28 Jun
VFB Bottrop
0 : 10
RW Essen
14 Jul
VFB Bottrop
0 : 0
Mulheimer FC 97
15 Jul
Kray
1 : 0
VFB Bottrop
04 Jul
VFB Bottrop
0 : 8
RW Essen
Page 1 of 3

RW Essen

(Away)
20 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 1
Hansa Rostock
16 Sept
Mannheim
1 : 2
RW Essen
12 Sept
RW Essen
6 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers
05 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 0
FC Viktoria Koln
29 Aug
Wehen
0 : 0
RW Essen
Page 1 of 7