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VfB Marburg vs Wurges Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VfB Marburg in this Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored VfB Marburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
VfB Marburg
15%
Draws
51%
Wurges
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wurges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Wurges average 1.33 goals a game right now, well clear of VfB Marburg's 1.32.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on VfB Marburg taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 19%
Wurges Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Marburg Wurges
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2011 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Wurges
0:1
Oct 1, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs VfB Marburg
2:2
May 29, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Wurges
4:3
Nov 7, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs VfB Marburg
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Marburg 40 / 100
Wurges 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Marburg Wurges

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfB Marburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: VfB Marburg scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Wurges's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: VfB Marburg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VfB Marburg VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

VfB Marburg

(Home)
03 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 0
CSC 03 Kassel
27 Sept
RW Walldorf
1 : 0
VfB Marburg
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
13 Sept
Eddersheim
4 : 2
VfB Marburg
09 Sept
Stadtallendorf
0 : 2
VfB Marburg
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Wurges

(Away)
28 May
FCA Darmstadt
0 : 1
Wurges
21 May
Wurges
3 : 1
Hunfelder
14 May
Wurges
2 : 1
Vellmar
07 May
Schwalmstadt
2 : 1
Wurges
29 Apr
Wurges
0 : 2
Waldgirmes
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