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Stadium Background

VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North 2025/2026 Marschweg-Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Schroder M.
42' Event
Loubongo-M'Boungou A.
55' Event
Nemeth D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga North 2025/2026 game between VfB Oldenburg and St. Pauli II finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VfB Oldenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
VfB Oldenburg
6%
Draws
4%
St. Pauli II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: VfB Oldenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VfB Oldenburg come out ahead of St. Pauli II on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on VfB Oldenburg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
VfB Oldenburg Clean Sheet 18%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Oldenburg St. Pauli II
Matches Played 25 26
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 12
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Regionalliga North
VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II
4:1
Dec 2, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg
1:1
Mar 14, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Regionalliga North
VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II
4:0
May 10, 2024 Regionalliga North
VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VfB Oldenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Schroder M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Loubongo-M'Boungou A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

St. Pauli II Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrmann M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Oldenburg 85 / 100
St. Pauli II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Oldenburg St. Pauli II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VFB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfB Oldenburg found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (25 games).

Defensive concern: St. Pauli II conceded in 96% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: VfB Oldenburg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VfB Oldenburg VS St. Pauli II
2.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Meppen342653103:3583
2Drochtersen / Assel34224883:4870
3VfB Oldenburg34216787:4569
4Jeddeloh34197881:5064
5Phonix Lubeck341681053:4356
6Hannover II341651363:4953
7Bremer3414101052:4152
8Emden341491164:5451
9Weiche Flensburg 08341471369:6349
10Hamburger II341381357:5047
11Lubeck341291354:6145
12Werder Bremen II3410101457:7140
13Hannoverscher SC341071749:8437
14Schoningen341042056:8434
15Eintracht Norderstedt34791851:7930
16St. Pauli II344131738:7225
17Lohne34582138:7823
18Altona34652344:9223