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VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North Marschweg-Stadion, Oldenburg
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VfB Oldenburg host St. Pauli II in the Regionalliga North. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: VfB Oldenburg at 2.63 goals for, 1.48 against; St. Pauli II at 1.68 for, 1.96 against. Past meetings favor VfB Oldenburg slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.63) back VfB Oldenburg to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
VfB Oldenburg
20%
Draws
23%
St. Pauli II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VfB Oldenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • VfB Oldenburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on VfB Oldenburg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
VfB Oldenburg Clean Sheet 14%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Oldenburg St. Pauli II
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.63 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Regionalliga North
VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II
4:1
Dec 2, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg
1:1
Mar 14, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Regionalliga North
VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II
4:0
May 10, 2024 Regionalliga North
VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Oldenburg 84 / 100
St. Pauli II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Oldenburg St. Pauli II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfB Oldenburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VfB Oldenburg scored in 96% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: St. Pauli II conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

VfB Oldenburg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

VfB Oldenburg VS St. Pauli II
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

VfB Oldenburg

(Home)
30 Oct
Delmenhorst
1 : 1
VfB Oldenburg
24 Oct
VfB Oldenburg
2 : 1
Hannoverscher SC
18 Oct
Hamburger II
1 : 2
VfB Oldenburg
11 Oct
VfB Oldenburg
4 : 0
Emden
03 Oct
Weiche Flensburg 08
3 : 2
VfB Oldenburg
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St. Pauli II

(Away)
01 Nov
St. Pauli II
1 : 1
Eimsbutteler
25 Oct
St. Pauli II
3 : 0
Weiche Flensburg 08
17 Oct
Lubeck
4 : 1
St. Pauli II
11 Oct
St. Pauli II
3 : 4
Hannoverscher SC
26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2
Emden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Weiche Flensburg 08 16 11 2 3 44:18 35
2 Hannover II 16 10 3 3 38:25 33
3 Drochtersen / Assel 16 10 2 4 49:23 32
4 VfB Oldenburg 15 10 2 3 42:20 32
5 Phonix Lubeck 15 9 4 2 41:14 31
6 Schoningen 15 7 3 5 22:27 24
7 Delmenhorst 15 5 6 4 22:23 21
8 Emden 16 5 5 6 37:42 20
9 Hamburger II 16 6 1 9 28:35 19
10 Werder Bremen II 16 5 3 8 27:31 18
11 Lubeck 15 4 6 5 22:28 18
12 Hannoverscher SC 16 4 6 6 24:33 18
13 Eimsbutteler 15 4 4 7 23:37 16
14 Jeddeloh 16 4 3 9 23:37 15
15 Todesfelde 16 4 3 9 27:50 15
16 St. Pauli II 15 4 2 9 28:30 14
17 Eintracht Norderstedt 14 3 4 7 29:39 13
18 Bremer 15 3 3 9 13:27 12
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga North (Relegation)