Sport Picks
VfB Stuttgart vs Atl. Madrid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Champions League MHPArena, Stuttgart 
Match Events
17'
17'
Mittelstadt M.
36'
36'
Leweling J.
46'
46'
Sub
David J. In: Lookman A.
Out: David J.
AI Match Summary
The Champions League game between VfB Stuttgart and Atl. Madrid finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Madrid
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- VfB Stuttgart carry the better recent record into this one.
- VfB Stuttgart are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 19%
Atl. Madrid Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Atl. Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 20, 2026 Champions League
VfB Stuttgart vs Atl. Madrid
1:1
Aug 5, 2018 Club Friendly
VfB Stuttgart vs Atl. Madrid
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Top Goalscorer Leweling J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Atl. Madrid Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VfB Stuttgart 36 / 100
Atl. Madrid 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VfB Stuttgart Atl. Madrid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: VfB Stuttgart scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Atl. Madrid let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: VfB Stuttgart remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
VfB Stuttgart VS Atl. Madrid
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
VfB Stuttgart
(Home) 20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 Atl. Madrid
17 Oct
Hamburger
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
14 Oct
Slovan Bratislava
0 : 3 VfB Stuttgart
10 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 2 VfB Stuttgart
01 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 0 Greuther Furth
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 Atl. Madrid
01 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 0 Greuther Furth
25 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 0 Heidenheim
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Viking
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Madrid
(Away) 20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 Atl. Madrid
17 Oct
Espanyol
0 : 1 Atl. Madrid
13 Oct
Atl. Madrid
2 : 0 Manchester United
10 Oct
Alaves
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid
20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1 Real Madrid
Page 1 of 7
20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 Atl. Madrid
17 Oct
Espanyol
0 : 1 Atl. Madrid
10 Oct
Alaves
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 8 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 13 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Shakhtar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 15 | Atl. Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 16 | PSV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 17 | Como | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Club Brugge | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 21 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 24 | Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 27 | AEK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 28 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 29 | Viking | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 30 | Slavia Prague | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 31 | Inter | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 32 | LASK Linz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 0 |
| 33 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | Lille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Galatasaray | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
