Sport Picks
VfB Stuttgart vs Celtic
Europe
Europa League 2025/2026 MHPArena, Stuttgart 
Match Events
1'
1'
McCowan L.
Assist: Adamu J.
45'
45'
Donovan C.
46'
46'
Sub
Leweling J. In: Fuhrich C.
Out: Leweling J.
AI Match Summary
Celtic in this Europa League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VfB Stuttgart
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Celtic lately — more wins on the board than VfB Stuttgart.
- VfB Stuttgart are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Celtic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Celtic, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 14%
Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.61 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 26, 2026 Europa League
VfB Stuttgart vs Celtic
0:1
Feb 19, 2026 Europa League
Celtic vs VfB Stuttgart
1:4
Feb 27, 2003 Europa League
VfB Stuttgart vs Celtic
3:2
Feb 20, 2003 Europa League
Celtic vs VfB Stuttgart
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Celtic Compare
Top Goalscorer McCowan L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VfB Stuttgart 84 / 100
Celtic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VfB Stuttgart Celtic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VfB Stuttgart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VfB Stuttgart scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Celtic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
Games between these two average 3.75 goals.
VfB Stuttgart has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
VfB Stuttgart VS Celtic
3.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
VfB Stuttgart
(Home) 08 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Everton
01 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 2 Paris FC
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5 VfB Stuttgart
19 Jul
Balingen
0 : 7 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Everton
01 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 2 Paris FC
09 May
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Bayer Leverkusen
26 Apr
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 Werder Bremen
23 Apr
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 1 Freiburg
Page 1 of 3
Celtic
(Away) 09 Aug
Kilmarnock
1 : 5 Celtic
03 Aug
Celtic
1 : 0 Dundee FC
25 Jul
Celtic
2 : 2 AC Milan
18 Jul
Celtic
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1 Celtic
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Kilmarnock
1 : 5 Celtic
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1 Celtic
07 Jul
Shelbourne
1 : 1 Celtic
13 May
Motherwell
2 : 3 Celtic
03 May
Hibernian
1 : 2 Celtic
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Ludogorets 2
Ferencvaros 3
Braga -
TBD -
Panathinaikos 4
Plzen 3
Betis -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb 4
Genk 6
Freiburg -
TBD -
PAOK 1
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon -
TBD -
Celtic 2
VfB Stuttgart 4
FC Porto -
TBD -
Fenerbahce 2
Nottingham 4
Midtjylland -
TBD -
Brann 0
Bologna 2
AS Roma -
TBD -
Lille 2
Crvena zvezda 1
Aston Villa -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Ferencvaros 2
Braga 4
Panathinaikos 1
Betis 4
Genk 2
Freiburg 5
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon 1
VfB Stuttgart 1
FC Porto 4
Nottingham 3
Midtjylland 2
Bologna 5
AS Roma 4
Lille 0
Aston Villa 3
Quarter-finals
Braga 5
Betis 3
Freiburg 6
Celta Vigo 1
FC Porto 1
Nottingham 2
Bologna 1
Aston Villa 7
Semi-finals
Braga 3
Freiburg 4
Nottingham 1
Aston Villa 4
Final
Freiburg 0
Aston Villa 3
