Sport Picks
VfB Stuttgart vs Dortmund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga MHPArena, Stuttgart 
Match Events
13'
13'
Demirovic E.
17'
17'
Stiller A.
32'
32'
Schlotterbeck N.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga game between VfB Stuttgart and Dortmund finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dortmund.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VfB Stuttgart
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Dortmund carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Dortmund a 31% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 20%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.64 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Dortmund
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Dortmund
0:2
Nov 22, 2025 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart
3:3
Feb 8, 2025 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Dortmund
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Dortmund Compare
Top Goalscorer Beier M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VfB Stuttgart 10 / 100
Dortmund 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VfB Stuttgart Dortmund
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dortmund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: VfB Stuttgart scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Dortmund let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
VfB Stuttgart has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
VfB Stuttgart VS Dortmund
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
VfB Stuttgart
(Home) 20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 Atl. Madrid
17 Oct
Hamburger
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
14 Oct
Slovan Bratislava
0 : 3 VfB Stuttgart
10 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 2 VfB Stuttgart
01 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 0 Greuther Furth
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 Atl. Madrid
01 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 0 Greuther Furth
25 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 0 Heidenheim
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Viking
Page 1 of 3
Dortmund
(Away) 20 Oct
Sabah FC
1 : 2 Dortmund
17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0 Dortmund
14 Oct
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 Dortmund
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2 Werder Bremen
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Sabah FC
1 : 2 Dortmund
17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0 Dortmund
14 Oct
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 Dortmund
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Mainz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Hamburger | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 12 | 1. FC Koln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Schalke | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 16 | Paderborn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8:20 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
