Sport Picks
VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 MHPArena, Stuttgart 
Match Events
21'
21'
Stiller A.
Assist: Leweling J.
24'
24'
Andres C.
32'
32'
Fuhrich C.
Assist: Demirovic E.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between VfB Stuttgart and Hamburger finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VfB Stuttgart.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VfB Stuttgart
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and VfB Stuttgart come out ahead of Hamburger on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on VfB Stuttgart taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and VfB Stuttgart have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 17%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Hamburger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.6 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger
4:0
Nov 30, 2025 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs VfB Stuttgart
2:1
Jun 5, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Hamburger vs VfB Stuttgart
1:3
Jun 1, 2023 2. Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger
3:0
Aug 26, 2020 Club Friendly
VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Top Goalscorer Stiller A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fuhrich C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41
Hamburger Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VfB Stuttgart 84 / 100
Hamburger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VfB Stuttgart Hamburger
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VfB Stuttgart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VfB Stuttgart found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Hamburger conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
VfB Stuttgart went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
VfB Stuttgart VS Hamburger
3.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
VfB Stuttgart
(Home) 12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Viking
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1 1. FC Koln
28 Aug
Bayern Munich
5 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
21 Aug
Hansa Rostock
0 : 4 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Viking
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1 1. FC Koln
08 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Everton
01 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 2 Paris FC
09 May
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 3
Hamburger
(Away) 13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 Hamburger
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5 Mainz
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3 Hamburger
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2 Hamburger
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 Hamburger
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3 Hamburger
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2 Hamburger
25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3 Hamburger
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
