Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga MHPArena, Stuttgart
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VfB Stuttgart host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Werder Bremen have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while VfB Stuttgart have conceded 1.25 and scored 2.53. Head-to-head, VfB Stuttgart have won 1 to Werder Bremen's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.19, favoring VfB Stuttgart. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
VfB Stuttgart
30%
Draws
29%
Werder Bremen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VfB Stuttgart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Werder Bremen haven't matched VfB Stuttgart's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans VfB Stuttgart's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 20%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Stuttgart Werder Bremen
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.53 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs VfB Stuttgart
0:4
Apr 13, 2025 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs VfB Stuttgart
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs VfB Stuttgart
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Stuttgart 42 / 100
Werder Bremen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Stuttgart Werder Bremen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfB Stuttgart found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Werder Bremen has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

VfB Stuttgart went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VfB Stuttgart VS Werder Bremen
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

VfB Stuttgart

(Home)
28 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 1
VfB Stuttgart
23 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 3
B. Monchengladbach
20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1
Atl. Madrid
17 Oct
Hamburger
1 : 0
VfB Stuttgart
14 Oct
Slovan Bratislava
0 : 3
VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 7

Werder Bremen

(Away)
27 Oct
Dortmund
3 : 2
Werder Bremen
24 Oct
Mainz
2 : 3
Werder Bremen
17 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 2
Paderborn
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2
Werder Bremen
02 Oct
Twente
7 : 0
Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 7 5 2 0 25:6 17
2 Dortmund 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
3 Freiburg 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen 7 4 1 2 16:12 13
5 Elversberg 8 4 1 3 16:16 13
6 RB Leipzig 7 4 0 3 20:11 12
7 Werder Bremen 7 3 3 1 15:14 12
8 Mainz 8 3 1 4 17:17 10
9 Augsburg 7 2 3 2 17:13 9
10 Hoffenheim 7 3 0 4 14:14 9
11 Hamburger 7 3 0 4 6:16 9
12 1. FC Koln 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
13 Paderborn 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 7 2 2 3 10:17 8
15 VfB Stuttgart 7 2 0 5 10:13 6
16 Schalke 7 1 3 3 4:7 6
17 Union Berlin 7 1 3 3 6:18 6
18 B. Monchengladbach 7 1 0 6 11:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)