Sport Picks
VfB Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 MHPArena, Stuttgart 
Match Events
19'
19'
Bauer D.
21'
21'
Undav D.
Assist: Demirovic E.
30'
30'
Leweling J.
Assist: Fuhrich C.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between VfB Stuttgart and Wolfsburg finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VfB Stuttgart.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- VfB Stuttgart carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans VfB Stuttgart's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 12%
Wolfsburg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.52 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg
4:0
Oct 18, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart
0:3
Feb 15, 2025 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart
2:2
Mar 2, 2024 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Top Goalscorer Leweling J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Undav D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Wolfsburg Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VfB Stuttgart 83 / 100
Wolfsburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VfB Stuttgart Wolfsburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VfB Stuttgart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VfB Stuttgart scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Wolfsburg let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Recent resilience: VfB Stuttgart stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
VfB Stuttgart VS Wolfsburg
3.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
VfB Stuttgart
(Home) 15 Aug
Fulham
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
08 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Everton
01 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 2 Paris FC
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Everton
01 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 2 Paris FC
09 May
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Bayer Leverkusen
26 Apr
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 Werder Bremen
23 Apr
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 1 Freiburg
Page 1 of 3
Wolfsburg
(Away) 16 Aug
Hannover
0 : 1 Wolfsburg
08 Aug
Wolfsburg
0 : 0 Kaiserslautern
31 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 1 Telstar
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2 Lyon
18 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 0 Verl
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Hannover
0 : 1 Wolfsburg
11 Jul
Schoningen
2 : 8 Wolfsburg
25 May
Paderborn
2 : 1 Wolfsburg
16 May
St. Pauli
1 : 3 Wolfsburg
03 May
Freiburg
1 : 1 Wolfsburg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
