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VfL Alfter vs Hennef

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2021/2022 game between VfL Alfter and Hennef finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hennef.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
VfL Alfter
15%
Draws
48%
Hennef
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hennef

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hennef come out ahead of VfL Alfter on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
VfL Alfter Clean Sheet 20%
Hennef Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfL Alfter Hennef
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.41 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
VfL Alfter vs Hennef
1:2
Oct 6, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs VfL Alfter
4:1
May 16, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs VfL Alfter
0:0
Dec 6, 2020 Oberliga Mittelrhein
VfL Alfter vs Hennef
0:0
Feb 6, 2020 Club Friendly
VfL Alfter vs Hennef
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfL Alfter 32 / 100
Hennef 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfL Alfter Hennef

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hennef's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: VfL Alfter scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

VfL Alfter went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hennef
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

VfL Alfter

(Home)
07 Feb
VfL Alfter
4 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
13 Aug
Bonner
2 : 2
VfL Alfter
03 Aug
VfL Alfter
1 : 2
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
25 Jul
VfL Alfter
3 : 1
Wachtberg
12 Jun
VfL Alfter
0 : 2
Siegburger
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Hennef

(Away)
07 Jun
Hennef
1 : 3
Bornheim
31 May
Siegburger
3 : 0
Hennef
25 May
Hennef
4 : 1
Teutonia Weiden
17 May
SpVg Porz 1919
1 : 5
Hennef
10 May
Hennef
1 : 0
FC Wegberg-Beeck
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