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VfL Lohbrugge vs Hamm United

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VfL Lohbrugge play Hamm United in the Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, VfL Lohbrugge averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Hamm United averaged 1.19 goals scored and 2.59 conceded. In past meetings, VfL Lohbrugge won 1, Hamm United won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for VfL Lohbrugge and 2.31 for Hamm United. This points to a VfL Lohbrugge double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
VfL Lohbrugge
16%
Draws
37%
Hamm United
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: VfL Lohbrugge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • VfL Lohbrugge picked up more points recently compared to Hamm United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
VfL Lohbrugge Clean Sheet 10%
Hamm United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfL Lohbrugge Hamm United
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 21 23
Goals Scored 1.3 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
VfL Lohbrugge vs Hamm United
1:0
Sep 17, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
Hamm United vs VfL Lohbrugge
3:2
Nov 7, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg
VfL Lohbrugge vs Hamm United
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfL Lohbrugge 44 / 100
Hamm United 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfL Lohbrugge Hamm United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: VfL Lohbrugge or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

VfL Lohbrugge attacking → ← attacking Hamm United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfL Lohbrugge scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Hamm United let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

VfL Lohbrugge went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Hamm United lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 21
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dassendorf18161163:1249
2Sasel18123351:2639
3TSV Concordia18103542:2433
4Paloma1896334:2733
5Curslack-Neuengamme1893650:3030
6VfL Lohbrugge18621022:3420
7Barmbek-Uhlenhorst18521131:5317
8Hamm United18511219:4416
9Bramfelder SV18331229:4812
10Meiendorfer SV18221415:588
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Niendorfer TSV16112343:2535
2SC Victoria Hamburg1675434:2426
3HEBC Hamburg1675440:3526
4TSV Buchholz 081666434:3124
5TuS Osdorf1672737:3123
6Suderelbe1655632:3920
7Hamburger III1645737:5217
8Rugenbergen1644820:2916
9Tornesch16401232:4312