Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VfL Lohbrugge vs Paloma

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VfL Lohbrugge play Paloma in the Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022. Paloma are favorites here. Recently, VfL Lohbrugge averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Paloma averaged 2.44 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, VfL Lohbrugge won 1, Paloma won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 22, 2022 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for VfL Lohbrugge and 1.43 for Paloma. This points to a Paloma double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
VfL Lohbrugge
15%
Draws
58%
Paloma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • VfL Lohbrugge picked up more points recently compared to Paloma.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
VfL Lohbrugge Clean Sheet 17%
Paloma Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfL Lohbrugge Paloma
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1.3 2.44
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
VfL Lohbrugge vs Paloma
2:3
Oct 3, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs VfL Lohbrugge
2:0
Dec 5, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg
VfL Lohbrugge vs Paloma
0:0
May 9, 2010 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs VfL Lohbrugge
0:1
Nov 7, 2009 Oberliga Hamburg
VfL Lohbrugge vs Paloma
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfL Lohbrugge 28 / 100
Paloma 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfL Lohbrugge Paloma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paloma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Paloma & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

VfL Lohbrugge attacking → ← attacking Paloma

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfL Lohbrugge scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Paloma let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

VfL Lohbrugge went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Paloma lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 59
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dassendorf18161163:1249
2Sasel18123351:2639
3TSV Concordia18103542:2433
4Paloma1896334:2733
5Curslack-Neuengamme1893650:3030
6VfL Lohbrugge18621022:3420
7Barmbek-Uhlenhorst18521131:5317
8Hamm United18511219:4416
9Bramfelder SV18331229:4812
10Meiendorfer SV18221415:588
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Niendorfer TSV16112343:2535
2SC Victoria Hamburg1675434:2426
3HEBC Hamburg1675440:3526
4TSV Buchholz 081666434:3124
5TuS Osdorf1672737:3123
6Suderelbe1655632:3920
7Hamburger III1645737:5217
8Rugenbergen1644820:2916
9Tornesch16401232:4312