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Stadium Background

VfL Oldenburg vs Bad Rothenfelde

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niedersachsen 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niedersachsen 2008/2009 game between VfL Oldenburg and Bad Rothenfelde finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
VfL Oldenburg
35%
Draws
28%
Bad Rothenfelde
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: VfL Oldenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bad Rothenfelde come out ahead of VfL Oldenburg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans VfL Oldenburg's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Oberliga Niedersachsen 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
VfL Oldenburg Clean Sheet 19%
Bad Rothenfelde Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfL Oldenburg Bad Rothenfelde
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2009 Oberliga Niedersachsen
VfL Oldenburg vs Bad Rothenfelde
5:2
Aug 9, 2009 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Bad Rothenfelde vs VfL Oldenburg
3:0
Mar 15, 2009 Oberliga Niedersachsen
VfL Oldenburg vs Bad Rothenfelde
1:1
Sep 28, 2008 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Bad Rothenfelde vs VfL Oldenburg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfL Oldenburg 58 / 100
Bad Rothenfelde 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfL Oldenburg Bad Rothenfelde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfL Oldenburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bad Rothenfelde conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: VfL Oldenburg scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

VfL Oldenburg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VfL Oldenburg VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

VfL Oldenburg

(Home)
31 Jan
Aabenraa
0 : 0
VfL Oldenburg
27 Jun
Jeddeloh
4 : 0
VfL Oldenburg
18 May
VfL Oldenburg
0 : 1
Heeslinger SC
11 May
Egestorf-Langreder
1 : 0
VfL Oldenburg
04 May
VfL Oldenburg
3 : 0
Vorsfelde
Page 1 of 7

Bad Rothenfelde

(Away)
29 May
Bad Rothenfelde
1 : 3
Emden
21 May
Cloppenburg
4 : 4
Bad Rothenfelde
16 May
TSV Havelse
5 : 0
Bad Rothenfelde
13 May
Emden
2 : 2
Bad Rothenfelde
08 May
Bad Rothenfelde
1 : 1
BSV Rehden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goslarer 34 27 2 5 91:35 83
2 Osterholz-Scharmbeck 34 22 4 8 84:39 70
3 Braunschweig II 34 20 9 5 78:37 69
4 Luneburger Hansa 34 20 5 9 83:48 65
5 Heeslingen 34 19 7 8 91:57 64
6 Ottersberg 34 17 8 9 71:50 59
7 Drochtersen / Assel 34 17 6 11 61:49 57
8 Gifhorn 34 16 7 11 69:52 55
9 Eintracht Northeim 34 14 8 12 59:59 50
10 BSV Olper 2000 34 11 11 12 51:52 44
11 FT Braunschweig 34 11 10 13 51:56 43
12 TUS Guldenstern Stade 34 11 6 17 42:50 39
13 Blau-Weiss Bornreihe 34 10 6 18 54:82 36
14 Celle 34 10 4 20 68:89 34
15 SC Weende Gottingen 34 8 3 23 49:95 27
16 Rotenburger 34 8 3 23 43:102 27
17 Vorsfelde 34 6 5 23 37:80 23
18 VfL Maschen 34 5 4 25 38:88 19
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2008/2009 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfB Oldenburg 34 24 6 4 90:28 78
2 Eintracht Nordhorn 34 24 2 8 94:53 74
3 TSV Havelse 34 19 9 6 69:41 66
4 Meppen 34 19 8 7 95:51 65
5 SV Bavenstedt 34 18 7 9 73:49 61
6 VfL Oldenburg 34 17 6 11 71:48 57
7 VfL Germania Leer 34 16 7 11 75:62 55
8 Bad Rothenfelde 34 14 6 14 68:72 48
9 VfL Osnabruck II 34 13 7 14 53:57 46
10 SPVGG Preussen Hameln 07 34 13 5 16 59:65 44
11 Langenhagen 34 11 8 15 59:67 41
12 BSV Rehden 34 11 5 18 69:67 38
13 Hildesheim 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Arminia Hannover 34 10 5 19 57:81 35
15 Heesseler 34 10 3 21 65:117 33
16 TUS Pewsum 34 9 3 22 42:81 30
17 Lingen 34 9 3 22 36:88 30
18 Wilhelmshaven 2 34 7 7 20 36:75 28
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2008/2009 (Play Offs)