Sport Picks
VfL Osnabruck vs Dresden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
2. Bundesliga Stadion an der Bremer Brück, Osnabrück 
Match Events
38'
38'
Hauptmann N.
Assist: Sterner J.
45'
45'
Meissner R.
46'
46'
Sub
Wagner F. In: Flach L.
Out: Wagner F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this 2. Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VfL Osnabruck
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Dresden at 2.32 per game, VfL Osnabruck at 1.89.
- VfL Osnabruck are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
VfL Osnabruck Clean Sheet 10%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 2.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 2. Bundesliga
VfL Osnabruck vs Dresden
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 3. Liga
Dresden vs VfL Osnabruck
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 3. Liga
VfL Osnabruck vs Dresden
0:3
Apr 2, 2023 3. Liga
VfL Osnabruck vs Dresden
0:1
Oct 9, 2022 3. Liga
Dresden vs VfL Osnabruck
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
VfL Osnabruck Compare
Top Goalscorer Fabinski R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Dresden Compare
Top Goalscorer Hauptmann N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VfL Osnabruck 47 / 100
Dresden 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VfL Osnabruck Dresden
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VfL Osnabruck Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VfL Osnabruck scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Dresden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Dresden's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
VfL Osnabruck VS Dresden
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
VfL Osnabruck
(Home) 03 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 1 Djurgarden
02 Oct
Bochum
4 : 1 VfL Osnabruck
23 Sept
Wiedenbruck
0 : 3 VfL Osnabruck
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1 VfL Osnabruck
13 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 3 Hertha Berlin
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 1 Djurgarden
13 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 3 Hertha Berlin
06 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
3 : 1 Braunschweig
02 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 4 Bayern Munich
15 Aug
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 3 Magdeburg
Page 1 of 3
Dresden
(Away) 02 Oct
Teplice
2 : 0 Dresden
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2 Hertha Berlin
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2 Dresden
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2 Bochum
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3 Dresden
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
Teplice
2 : 0 Dresden
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2 Dresden
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3 Dresden
23 Aug
Westfalia Rhynern
0 : 6 Dresden
09 Aug
Nurnberg
3 : 0 Dresden
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha Berlin | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 4 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 11 |
| 6 | Magdeburg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 7 | Energie Cottbus | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14:13 | 8 |
| 8 | Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 7 |
| 9 | St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Bochum | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Hannover | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 12 | VfL Osnabruck | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 13 | Greuther Furth | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 14 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 5 |
| 15 | Karlsruher | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 17 | Dresden | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 4 |
| 18 | Darmstadt | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
