Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha Berlin

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Stadion an der Bremer Brück, Osnabrück
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Brekalo J.
37'
Gechter L.
50'
Beck A.

AI Match Summary

Hertha Berlin in this 2. Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hertha Berlin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
VfL Osnabruck
15%
Draws
58%
Hertha Berlin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hertha Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Hertha Berlin at 2.68 per game, VfL Osnabruck at 2.07.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Hertha Berlin taking it.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
VfL Osnabruck Clean Sheet 10%
Hertha Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfL Osnabruck Hertha Berlin
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.07 2.68
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 2. Bundesliga
VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha Berlin
1:3
May 19, 2024 2. Bundesliga
VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha Berlin
2:1
Dec 16, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs VfL Osnabruck
0:0
Jan 6, 2012 Club Friendly
Hertha Berlin vs VfL Osnabruck
3:2
Apr 16, 2011 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs VfL Osnabruck
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VfL Osnabruck Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hertha Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Brekalo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sessa K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfL Osnabruck 10 / 100
Hertha Berlin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfL Osnabruck Hertha Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hertha Berlin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfL Osnabruck found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Hertha Berlin has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: VfL Osnabruck remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

VfL Osnabruck VS Hertha Berlin
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

VfL Osnabruck

(Home)
23 Sept
Wiedenbruck
0 : 3
VfL Osnabruck
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
13 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 3
Hertha Berlin
06 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
3 : 1
Braunschweig
02 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 4
Bayern Munich
Page 1 of 6

Hertha Berlin

(Away)
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
13 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 3
Hertha Berlin
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Magdeburg
28 Aug
Braunschweig
3 : 5
Hertha Berlin
22 Aug
Saarbrucken
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 6 4 1 1 14:12 13
4 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
5 Kaiserslautern 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
9 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
10 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
14 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
15 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 12:13 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 0 4 2 7:10 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)