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VfL Vichttal vs Merten

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between VfL Vichttal and Merten finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
VfL Vichttal
30%
Draws
33%
Merten
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VfL Vichttal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Merten's 2.89 goals per match outpaces what VfL Vichttal have produced (2.79).
  • Win probability leans VfL Vichttal's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
VfL Vichttal Clean Sheet 10%
Merten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfL Vichttal Merten
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.79 2.89
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
VfL Vichttal vs Merten
2:2
Apr 12, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
VfL Vichttal vs Merten
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs VfL Vichttal
2:1
Mar 23, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
VfL Vichttal vs Merten
2:4
Sep 8, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs VfL Vichttal
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfL Vichttal 38 / 100
Merten 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfL Vichttal Merten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfL Vichttal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VfL Vichttal scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Merten conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: VfL Vichttal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VfL Vichttal VS Merten
3.5 Goals Scored 4
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

VfL Vichttal

(Home)
25 Sept
VfL Vichttal
3 : 0
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
20 Sept
Chlodwig Zulpich
4 : 3
VfL Vichttal
13 Sept
VfL Vichttal
2 : 2
Merten
06 Sept
SpVg Porz 1919
2 : 2
VfL Vichttal
28 Aug
VfL Vichttal
6 : 2
1. FC Duren
Page 1 of 6

Merten

(Away)
27 Sept
Bornheim
4 : 3
Merten
20 Sept
Merten
3 : 1
FC Hurth
13 Sept
VfL Vichttal
2 : 2
Merten
06 Sept
Merten
5 : 0
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
30 Aug
Siegburger
2 : 0
Merten
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)