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VfR Mannheim vs FC 08 Homburg

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AI Match Summary

VfR Mannheim play FC 08 Homburg in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, VfR Mannheim averaged 2.88 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. FC 08 Homburg averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, VfR Mannheim won 0, FC 08 Homburg won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 4:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for VfR Mannheim and 1.56 for FC 08 Homburg. This points to a FC 08 Homburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
VfR Mannheim
39%
Draws
31%
FC 08 Homburg
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • VfR Mannheim demonstrates higher offensive output (2.88 avg goals) than FC 08 Homburg (1.63 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
VfR Mannheim Clean Sheet 15%
FC 08 Homburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfR Mannheim FC 08 Homburg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
VfR Mannheim vs FC 08 Homburg
4:5
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Mannheim
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfR Mannheim 30 / 100
FC 08 Homburg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfR Mannheim FC 08 Homburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VFR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfR Mannheim scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

FC 08 Homburg let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

VfR Mannheim went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC 08 Homburg lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VfR Mannheim VS FC 08 Homburg
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%